Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a150bd9bf64f213fc3f1f7db7c3f3da0468b98afeb450f0f3abef665d1e9c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 10,996$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.55 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 6,008$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.11 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 5,601$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.72 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 5,280$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.33 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 2,713$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.3 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 646.27$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 505.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 48c | 505.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 462.92$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.09 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 48c | 207.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…b4adbacked Under | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 46c | 144.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Over | 53c | 118.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Under | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 100.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 98.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed Over | 52c | 92.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 83.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 48c | 78.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 77.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 65.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Over | 49c | 43.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Under | 50c | 32.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 55c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 54c | 26.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 142.5this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue BoilermakersMichigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.