Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf27603a855a514e7df5fb9215ac33af470c66d0102292d1e0a0662a58612d0

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucknell Bisonof Army Black Knights, Bucknell Bison
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $127,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,469 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Bucknell Bison	55c	80,519$43,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,602.54	896	45.9%411 W · 485 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Army Black Knights	46c	31,643$14,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,568.26	1,397	52.7%736 W · 661 L	+26.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Army Black Knights	45c	16,999$7,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,669.71	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…6cc3backed Army Black Knights	5c	8,694$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.17	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.21per pick	65cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Army Black Knights	46c	6,285$2,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,885.5	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bucknell Bison	56c	5,555$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,455.31	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Army Black Knights	46c	5,527$2,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,543.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucknell Bison	54c	5,065$2,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,315.64	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Army Black Knights	43c	5,016$2,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142.97	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison	65c	3,280$2,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.49	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Army Black Knights	46c	3,150$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.26	157	48.4%76 W · 81 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Army Black Knights	46c	3,081$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.07	815	28.8%235 W · 580 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Army Black Knights	43c	2,959$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.45	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Army Black Knights	46c	2,959$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.93	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Army Black Knights	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Army Black Knights	46c	1,972$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.05	274	50%137 W · 137 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Army Black Knights	45c	1,507$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.57	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Army Black Knights	46c	1,024$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.87	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Army Black Knights	44c	1,022$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.4	298	45.3%135 W · 163 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Army Black Knights	46c	1,016$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.4	117	47.9%56 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Army Black Knights	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Bucknell Bison	56c	999.98$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.99	215	49.3%106 W · 109 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Bucknell Bison	58c	851.36$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.62	434	50%217 W · 217 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Army Black Knights	56c	673.59$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.21	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Army Black Knights	46c	668.43$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.69	347	46.1%160 W · 187 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Army Black Knights	42c	631.8$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.44	771	42.3%326 W · 445 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Army Black Knights	41c	624.15$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.43	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Army Black Knights	49c	539.16$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.24	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Army Black Knights	46c	465.33$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.05	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Army Black Knights	47c	405.19$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.06	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Bucknell Bison	62c	335.54$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.02	932	47.3%441 W · 491 L	-22.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bucknell Bison	54c	329$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.34	918	48.9%449 W · 469 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bucknell Bison	55c	321.63$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.2	1,446	43.4%627 W · 819 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Army Black Knights	46c	306.61$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.04	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Army Black Knights	42c	299.98$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.99	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Army Black Knights	46c	299.09$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.58	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Army Black Knights	46c	265.67$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.05	746	49.2%367 W · 379 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Army Black Knights	46c	247.83$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	891	46.2%412 W · 479 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Army Black Knights	45c	246.92$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.33	621	40.4%251 W · 370 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Army Black Knights	45c	230$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Army Black Knights	46c	215.5$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	188	51.6%97 W · 91 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Army Black Knights	47c	210.91$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	179	50.8%91 W · 88 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Army Black Knights	43c	199.48$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.78	1,317	33.6%443 W · 874 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bucknell Bison	58c	193.15$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.12	407	55.8%227 W · 180 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Army Black Knights	46c	176.82$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.75	870	47.2%411 W · 459 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Army Black Knights	46c	168.52$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.52	247	37.7%93 W · 154 L	+13.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Army Black Knights	42c	145.75$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.33	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Army Black Knights	46c	144.77$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.43	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Army Black Knights	46c	136.08$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.27	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Army Black Knights	43c	134.03$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.26	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Army Black Knights	46c	129.68$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.48	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Army Black Knights	43c	112.35$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.09	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Army Black Knights	64c	109.94$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.44	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Army Black Knights	46c	99.13$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Army Black Knights	48c	97.16$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Army Black Knights	46c	96.16$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.23	218	50.5%110 W · 108 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Bucknell Bison	55c	95.17$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.83	258	37.6%97 W · 161 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Bucknell Bison	57c	90.22$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.79	754	47.1%355 W · 399 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucknell Bison	56c	84.17$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.11	716	55.3%396 W · 320 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Bucknell Bison	58c	68.38$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.72	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Bucknell Bison	58c	60.08$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.24	586	52.9%310 W · 276 L	+23.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Army Black Knights	45c	59.48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Army Black Knights	44c	56.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0190…a3bdbacked Army Black Knights	46c	53.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Army Black Knights	42c	46.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	216	46.8%101 W · 115 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Bucknell Bison	55c	45.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	134	50%67 W · 67 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Army Black Knights	43c	43.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	225	44.9%101 W · 124 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Bucknell Bison	58c	42.74$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Army Black Knights	43c	39.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	249	51.8%129 W · 120 L	+19.1wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Bucknell Bison	52c	37.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.05	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Army Black Knights	46c	32.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Army Black Knights	47c	31.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	485	51.1%248 W · 237 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Army Black Knights	45c	31.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	161	40.4%65 W · 96 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Army Black Knights	40c	29.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	449	55.2%248 W · 201 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac65…a9ddbacked Bucknell Bison	55c	29.74$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.34	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Bucknell Bison	55c	29.65$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.34	150	66%99 W · 51 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Bucknell Bison	53c	28.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.54	94	48.9%46 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Bucknell Bison	53c	28.05$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.19	299	54.2%162 W · 137 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc12c…b9fdbacked Army Black Knights	39c	27.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Army Black Knights	44c	27.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad9…3041backed Bucknell Bison	55c	25.78$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Bucknell Bison	61c	23.22$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.98	185	57.8%107 W · 78 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Bucknell Bison	57c	22.81$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.91	208	34.6%72 W · 136 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Bucknell Bison	54c	22.74$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.39	397	42.8%170 W · 227 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bisonthis page
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 143.5Under won
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event