Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658bab885a77d08e638b3ccbf434d9fcb2c1d5cebdcd822af1fe3a033c33c64d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SwimTrek Blueof FlyQuest RED, SwimTrek Blue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FlyQuest RED | 31c | 1,508$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked FlyQuest RED | 32c | 774$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FlyQuest RED | 28c | 705.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked SwimTrek Blue | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 503.69$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 493.43$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 464.89$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 409.42$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed FlyQuest RED | 30c | 277.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed SwimTrek Blue | 70c | 257.91$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed FlyQuest RED | 30c | 169.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 142.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed SwimTrek Blue | 70c | 141.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FlyQuest RED | 30c | 102.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked SwimTrek Blue | 72c | 83.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed SwimTrek Blue | 72c | 69.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FlyQuest RED | 30c | 59.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed FlyQuest RED | 46c | 54.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed FlyQuest RED | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked SwimTrek Blue | 50c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed FlyQuest RED | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed FlyQuest RED | 32c | 34.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed SwimTrek Blue | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SwimTrek Blue | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 23.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue - Map 2 WinnerSwimTrek Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.