Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5810e8ab25e841c05dbe426a67676f4c49d821a609620121730f0975b7f256c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof MIBR, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports | 34c | 3,034$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.22 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed MIBR | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports | 21c | 1,862$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.55 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 56c | 966.3$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.37 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FURIA Esports | 37c | 815$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.42 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 62c | 759.3$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.26 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed FURIA Esports | 39c | 517.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked MIBR | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 60c | 460$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 74c | 451.4$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MIBR | 59c | 421.23$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FURIA Esports | 26c | 287.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked MIBR | 70c | 286.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR | 62c | 260$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MIBR | 72c | 250$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed FURIA Esports | 17c | 243.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.41 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FURIA Esports | 32c | 242.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked MIBR | 48c | 219.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked MIBR | 49c | 205.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked MIBR | 51c | 191.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed MIBR | 54c | 186.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed MIBR | 64c | 159.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 156.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MIBR | 63c | 110.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed MIBR | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 62c | 101.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FURIA Esports | 31c | 81.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked MIBR | 63c | 79.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…18dabacked MIBR | 69c | 78.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked MIBR | 66c | 68.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked FURIA Esports | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FURIA Esports | 21c | 60.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked FURIA Esports | 23c | 55.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…b686backed MIBR | 57c | 53.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…ea80backed MIBR | 52c | 47.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MIBR | 64c | 41.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…94babacked MIBR | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 26.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…a27fbacked MIBR | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…7ecabacked MIBR | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 4 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.