Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. Stonehill Skyhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9448e5dc7aa54d674d8753547beada472ecf1e685e758daba2ff03a1e912fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wagner Seahawksof Wagner Seahawks, Stonehill Skyhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks | 51c | 2,491$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 39c | 1,233$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 58c | 1,093$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.07 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 61c | 1,090$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.87 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wagner Seahawks | 34c | 1,065$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 865.14$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 38c | 504.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 60c | 392$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 13c | 385.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 62c | 380.47$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.8 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 53c | 373$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 295.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 38c | 276.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 43c | 272$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 59c | 255$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 40c | 238.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…f0dabacked Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 183.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Wagner Seahawks | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 68c | 109.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wagner Seahawks | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 81.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Wagner Seahawks | 30c | 80.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wagner Seahawks | 39c | 75.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…4db1backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 21c | 62.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 29c | 51.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Wagner Seahawks | 39c | 46.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wagner Seahawks | 40c | 44.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 43c | 33.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wagner Seahawks | 39c | 30.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 39c | 25.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 67c | 20.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Stonehill Skyhawksthis page
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 128.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 129.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 130.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.