Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5165330fea707ec283d8239e66c5e1bdbd39e795bb24245266efafd0e4692fa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Utah Thunderbirdsof Southern Utah Thunderbirds, UT Arlington Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x739f…a188backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 0c | 23,137$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…fd78backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 0c | 20,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 71c | 5,305$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 42c | 4,044$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.44 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 36c | 3,653$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.55 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 67c | 2,851$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 56c | 2,488$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.43 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 34c | 2,085$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.42 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 1,697$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.4 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 25c | 1,591$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 36c | 1,215$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.16 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 934.78$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.04 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 63c | 904.27$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.01 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 793.69$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.64 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 53c | 783.24$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 33c | 771$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 39c | 600$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 54c | 515.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 51c | 420.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 58c | 399.01$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 386.13$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.1 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 28c | 351.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 77c | 345.05$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d48…eca0backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 72c | 276.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…f0dabacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 242.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 20c | 241.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 23c | 227$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 23c | 218.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…7b83backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 25c | 201.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 22c | 199.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 66c | 191.12$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 184.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 54c | 171.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 57c | 158.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 73c | 127.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 57c | 111.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 107$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 62c | 105.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…1eb8backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 103.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 21c | 78.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 19c | 71.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 43c | 69.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 66c | 52.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52c | 49.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 60c | 46.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…615cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 43.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 37c | 40.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 36.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…4d19backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 80c | 22.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 79c | 18.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 15.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 69c | 15.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericksthis page
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 143.5Over won
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 144.5Over won
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.