Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67b0bc9a65725e19a1dfa87de53fa05637f665be8d403cecc1b391aea959e956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509f…d23abacked Yes | 0c | 26,286$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bb…cb41backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed Yes | 1c | 1,662$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Yes | 3c | 1,050$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 43c | 785.45$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.57 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…4dd5backed Yes | 4c | 727.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 59c | 596.8$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…60d5backed Yes | 36c | 564.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 60c | 401.41$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.57 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 401.32$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 384.14$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 36c | 315.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 38c | 315.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 61c | 299.14$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 63c | 283.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 38c | 245.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 54c | 230.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 57c | 227.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9727…8248backed No | 44c | 226.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…f0dabacked Yes | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 59c | 192.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b9a3backed Yes | 49c | 180.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 67c | 169.91$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…3853backed Yes | 60c | 166.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 45c | 165.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 41c | 149.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 9c | 147.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…8a0abacked Yes | 37c | 134.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 37c | 130.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 130.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 129.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 30c | 129.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed Yes | 31c | 123.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 51c | 120.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…0d0dbacked Yes | 62c | 103.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9ba7backed Yes | 41c | 99.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 52c | 95.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…f5c3backed No | 60c | 92.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…1230backed Yes | 39c | 90.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked Yes | 40c | 89.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Yes | 32c | 88.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 86.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…a680backed Yes | 27c | 84.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…f052backed Yes | 55c | 82.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…983fbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 41c | 73.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked No | 69c | 72.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…9c94backed Yes | 41c | 69.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 40c | 68.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 28c | 68.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 67.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…e43ebacked No | 76c | 65.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 180 | 60%108 W · 72 L | -21.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Yes | 24c | 60.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 34c | 58.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 44c | 56.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 33c | 56.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…bae1backed Yes | 35c | 50.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…bf35backed Yes | 39c | 50.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…fd95backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…3152backed No | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 48c | 49.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…b2dabacked Yes | 41c | 47.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…0224backed No | 61c | 46.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…8a3bbacked No | 66c | 45.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 76c | 43.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6966backed No | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…b749backed No | 75c | 40.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…dd7dbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…75f6backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 165 | 18.2%30 W · 135 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…2be0backed No | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked Yes | 48c | 39.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…abc9backed No | 61c | 38.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes | 38c | 37.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…846fbacked Yes | 40c | 37.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…6303backed No | 55c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…a993backed Yes | 41c | 36.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…bca0backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…8a2cbacked Yes | 41c | 35.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 36c | 33.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 32.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…72d5backed No | 66c | 30.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…b787backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked No | 79c | 29.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…cce8backed No | 58c | 28.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…69b8backed Yes | 39c | 27.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.