Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider Broncs vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc0428f89fe3da586532b4db21aabd451150079580acb85b839515a8339e1f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sacred Heart Pioneersof Rider Broncs, Sacred Heart Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Rider Broncs | 19c | 12,795$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.06 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rider Broncs | 12c | 3,612$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 884$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rider Broncs | 18c | 798.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Rider Broncs | 3c | 556.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Rider Broncs | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Rider Broncs | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rider Broncs | 14c | 240.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Rider Broncs | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rider Broncs | 17c | 178.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Rider Broncs | 18c | 177.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Rider Broncs | 19c | 73.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rider Broncs | 19c | 65.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 69c | 58.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Rider Broncs | 19c | 52.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 80c | 51.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…1d60backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…6b9ebacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…fde5backed Rider Broncs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 80c | 30.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 80c | 28.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rider Broncs vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersthis page
- Rider Broncs vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Rider Broncs vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Rider Broncs vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Sacred Heart Pioneers (-9.5)Sacred Heart Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.