TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Montana State Bobcats vs. Weber State Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Weber State Wildcatsof Montana State Bobcats, Weber State Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Montana State Bobcats50c7,526$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.875,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Montana State Bobcats65c5,812$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.4449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Montana State Bobcats49c5,444$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.5689645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Weber State Wildcats60c5,402$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.1434943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Weber State Wildcats51c5,310$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.8321149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Weber State Wildcats39c4,105$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.412737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Weber State Wildcats48c3,341$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.953,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Weber State Wildcats54c1,806$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.821,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Weber State Wildcats54c1,463$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.522,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Montana State Bobcats37c1,425$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.521,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Weber State Wildcats51c1,277$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.661,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Weber State Wildcats53c1,123$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.271,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Weber State Wildcats49c1,017$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.931,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Montana State Bobcats7c1,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0424121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Montana State Bobcats52c852.28$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.072,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Weber State Wildcats60c773.38$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.992,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Weber State Wildcats49c732.16$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Montana State Bobcats36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25225325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Weber State Wildcats56c696.51$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.541,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Montana State Bobcats57c560.01$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.51,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Montana State Bobcats27c523.78$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.82,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Montana State Bobcats26c469.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Weber State Wildcats60c451.35$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.391,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Weber State Wildcats60c435.28$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Weber State Wildcats72c413.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Montana State Bobcats49c356.23$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Montana State Bobcats31c331.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2217627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Montana State Bobcats62c322.19$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4825337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Montana State Bobcats50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Weber State Wildcats50c317.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Weber State Wildcats52c314.33$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.83,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Montana State Bobcats35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Weber State Wildcats53c298.64$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Weber State Wildcats50c298$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.941,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Montana State Bobcats36c279.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4312435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Weber State Wildcats63c278.29$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3614354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Montana State Bobcats56c244.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.493,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Montana State Bobcats49c228$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Montana State Bobcats53c212$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.81,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed Montana State Bobcats26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Montana State Bobcats48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Montana State Bobcats33c194.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.171338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Weber State Wildcats47c190.45$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.492,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Weber State Wildcats56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5740252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Weber State Wildcats50c177$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Montana State Bobcats15c176$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6423149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Weber State Wildcats62c155.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.651,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Weber State Wildcats61c136.5$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Weber State Wildcats56c121.37$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.47540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Weber State Wildcats56c116.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Montana State Bobcats57c113$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Weber State Wildcats77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.852,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Montana State Bobcats50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Weber State Wildcats44c79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.941,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Montana State Bobcats35c70.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Montana State Bobcats68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.827358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Weber State Wildcats52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Weber State Wildcats50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3365…ce5bbacked Montana State Bobcats50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Montana State Bobcats51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10c…72e1backed Weber State Wildcats51c58.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Weber State Wildcats51c56.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8721955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Montana State Bobcats40c52.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.891,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Montana State Bobcats34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4415…b335backed Montana State Bobcats44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221580%12 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Montana State Bobcats46c42.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3318557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Montana State Bobcats72c41.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Montana State Bobcats52c38.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Weber State Wildcats61c38.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8230945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Montana State Bobcats28c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.644238.1%16 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Montana State Bobcats66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x049e…55b1backed Montana State Bobcats56c33.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.985168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Weber State Wildcats50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6133445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fd…d641backed Weber State Wildcats59c30.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.627663.2%48 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Weber State Wildcats50c26.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Weber State Wildcats56c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6370936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Weber State Wildcats40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Weber State Wildcats46c24.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Montana State Bobcats48c22.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Montana State Bobcats50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x839f…5f1fbacked Weber State Wildcats51c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.612842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.