Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5151b88d97531acbba2c4dbfdd2f507b9f1f71e24823aca36fcc59a1d02e5008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Bobcatsof Ball State Cardinals, Ohio Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ball State Cardinals | 17c | 2,291$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ball State Cardinals | 26c | 1,650$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.26 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 1,486$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Ball State Cardinals | 3c | 967.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ball State Cardinals | 11c | 507.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Ball State Cardinals | 19c | 472.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ball State Cardinals | 17c | 404.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ohio Bobcats | 74c | 356.87$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Ball State Cardinals | 17c | 314.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Ohio Bobcats | 80c | 302$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ball State Cardinals | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af8…f7acbacked Ball State Cardinals | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ball State Cardinals | 18c | 159.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Ball State Cardinals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…3458backed Ball State Cardinals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…e567backed Ball State Cardinals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995a…9368backed Ball State Cardinals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…bb63backed Ball State Cardinals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…6941backed Ball State Cardinals | 19c | 88.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ohio Bobcats | 76c | 63.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ohio Bobcats | 74c | 55.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Ohio Bobcats | 79c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcatsthis page
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 142.5Under won
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 143.5Under won
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-9.5)Ohio Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.