Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7cf5bc9b2dc49d244d8b5397488cce72027a5103317e40a8590888625e27129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Bobcatsof Ohio Bobcats, Ball State Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 1,221$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ball State Cardinals | 51c | 858$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.16 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 283.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…8461backed Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Ohio Bobcats | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Ohio Bobcats | 63c | 160.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ohio Bobcats | 49c | 105.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 103.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Ball State Cardinals | 50c | 88.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 80.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ohio Bobcats | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ball State Cardinals | 32c | 50.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ohio Bobcats | 49c | 50.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…78b8backed Ball State Cardinals | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Ohio Bobcats | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Ball State Cardinals | 52c | 26.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 24.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-9.5)this page
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio BobcatsOhio Bobcats won
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 142.5Under won
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 143.5Under won
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.