Tennis · resolved market
Naples: Saba Purtseladze vs Michele Ribecai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d2498d9ba93b50507e039b182c099c24e767c90e4519b707718c0416f16bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michele Ribecaiof Saba Purtseladze, Michele Ribecai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,039 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd035…f165backed Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 1,293$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.05 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Saba Purtseladze | 8c | 950.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saba Purtseladze | 10c | 863.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 853.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 961 | 35.4%340 W · 621 L | -40.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…4153backed Michele Ribecai | 73c | 742.86$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Michele Ribecai | 18c | 520.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.08 | 2,451 | 51.7%1,268 W · 1,183 L | +11.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Saba Purtseladze | 10c | 492.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Saba Purtseladze | 5c | 474.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 461.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…e855backed Saba Purtseladze | 4c | 449.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Saba Purtseladze | 3c | 429.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Saba Purtseladze | 26c | 416.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Saba Purtseladze | 37c | 409.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Saba Purtseladze | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Michele Ribecai | 78c | 384.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 2,060 | 59.5%1,226 W · 834 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saba Purtseladze | 27c | 323.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saba Purtseladze | 9c | 322.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Saba Purtseladze | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Saba Purtseladze | 27c | 279.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Saba Purtseladze | 35c | 271.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saba Purtseladze | 22c | 231.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1,988 | 46.1%917 W · 1,071 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Saba Purtseladze | 7c | 199.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Michele Ribecai | 73c | 197.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Saba Purtseladze | 8c | 184.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Michele Ribecai | 77c | 172.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Saba Purtseladze | 18c | 164.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…f615backed Michele Ribecai | 73c | 136.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Michele Ribecai | 72c | 134.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Michele Ribecai | 76c | 129.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Michele Ribecai | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…49bcbacked Michele Ribecai | 68c | 124.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Saba Purtseladze | 9c | 113.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Michele Ribecai | 54c | 105.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Saba Purtseladze | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Saba Purtseladze | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Saba Purtseladze | 22c | 95.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 94.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Saba Purtseladze | 61c | 81.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Michele Ribecai | 78c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Saba Purtseladze | 30c | 63.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Michele Ribecai | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Saba Purtseladze | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Michele Ribecai | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Michele Ribecai | 79c | 38.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Michele Ribecai | 72c | 30.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…7edabacked Michele Ribecai | 78c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Michele Ribecai | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…5f86backed Michele Ribecai | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Michele Ribecai | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Michele Ribecai | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Michele Ribecai | 78c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 349 | 48.1%168 W · 181 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.