TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UMBC Retrievers vs. Maine Black Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UMBC Retrieversof UMBC Retrievers, Maine Black Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed UMBC Retrievers67c42,923$28,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,270.416056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Maine Black Bears34c28,304$9,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,532.555,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221b…f7eabacked Maine Black Bears0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Maine Black Bears33c8,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6401,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked UMBC Retrievers63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85023149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Maine Black Bears35c4,995$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.25740.4%23 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x560a…a398backed UMBC Retrievers65c2,901$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x866e…7deabacked Maine Black Bears35c2,895$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Maine Black Bears36c1,687$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.2442339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Maine Black Bears36c1,653$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59024847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers63c1,583$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.873,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Maine Black Bears38c1,380$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.456444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Maine Black Bears36c1,336$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.794245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UMBC Retrievers65c1,239$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.341,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UMBC Retrievers65c1,167$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.891,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Maine Black Bears37c1,121$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Maine Black Bears34c1,118$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.36549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb2c…a9e9backed Maine Black Bears37c1,108$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bd…bc39backed UMBC Retrievers63c1,100$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UMBC Retrievers65c1,028$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.932,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed UMBC Retrievers64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f5…6092backed Maine Black Bears36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Maine Black Bears38c915.37$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Maine Black Bears36c902.09$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed Maine Black Bears37c713.91$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.153743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maine Black Bears37c593.1$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.182,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Maine Black Bears36c517$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.121553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UMBC Retrievers68c491.28$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Maine Black Bears38c460.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Maine Black Bears37c421.19$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…cc4abacked Maine Black Bears36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Maine Black Bears34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1367038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7da…aad7backed UMBC Retrievers64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UMBC Retrievers64c381$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.522,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed UMBC Retrievers54c367.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5511028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Maine Black Bears38c364$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Maine Black Bears37c335.14$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Maine Black Bears36c333.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed UMBC Retrievers53c328.23$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.276550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked UMBC Retrievers63c314$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Maine Black Bears36c299.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed UMBC Retrievers65c299$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.397467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Maine Black Bears37c295$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.151,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Maine Black Bears35c280.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Maine Black Bears37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UMBC Retrievers64c240.96$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.492,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed UMBC Retrievers64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3813561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Maine Black Bears35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Maine Black Bears33c225.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.473,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed UMBC Retrievers62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…df01backed Maine Black Bears37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+138.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8236…6479backed Maine Black Bears36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1f…039dbacked Maine Black Bears37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+52.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2b…e567backed Maine Black Bears37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a5…735dbacked Maine Black Bears38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd032…f665backed Maine Black Bears36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbce…c3b4backed Maine Black Bears37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked UMBC Retrievers65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x995a…9368backed Maine Black Bears36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42c…5ebdbacked Maine Black Bears37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maine Black Bears35c199.52$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.82,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Maine Black Bears33c197.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Maine Black Bears35c170.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.591850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Maine Black Bears19c165.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.825239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked Maine Black Bears36c158.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.19851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed UMBC Retrievers58c157.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8815055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Maine Black Bears35c149.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.82707.1%5 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maine Black Bears36c144.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked UMBC Retrievers64c142.16$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1814062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maine Black Bears34c142.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Maine Black Bears37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maine Black Bears38c132.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.254,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked UMBC Retrievers63c128.7$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6230249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c44…93efbacked UMBC Retrievers60c125.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed UMBC Retrievers64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UMBC Retrievers74c124.87$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.441,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Maine Black Bears17c118.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked UMBC Retrievers64c117.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.147350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Maine Black Bears37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Maine Black Bears35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UMBC Retrievers65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227d…5507backed UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x534b…370bbacked UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa325…bc64backed UMBC Retrievers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick50cpaid+56.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7af8…f7acbacked UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c84…57f8backed UMBC Retrievers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…3458backed UMBC Retrievers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d0…02ccbacked Maine Black Bears36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3660%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ca…e09dbacked UMBC Retrievers62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b00…4c7dbacked UMBC Retrievers62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed UMBC Retrievers65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2840…638cbacked UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa341…0aeabacked UMBC Retrievers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb80d…0f4ebacked UMBC Retrievers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x476a…dd44backed UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e96…f4cabacked UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x981a…ef4fbacked UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf547…4d4fbacked UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f36…55dfbacked UMBC Retrievers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e8…1842backed UMBC Retrievers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.