Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. Portland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf84fb9afc84ac287fe89b887769226152d0321d399e467f4915ff16f001e04ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Idaho Vandals, Portland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x691a…d113backed Idaho Vandals | 4c | 8,646$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.81 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Idaho Vandals | 39c | 5,313$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.94 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Idaho Vandals | 16c | 5,074$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.57 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Portland State Vikings | 61c | 3,233$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.74 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Portland State Vikings | 61c | 2,229$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.8 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Portland State Vikings | 80c | 2,061$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Portland State Vikings | 75c | 1,859$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Idaho Vandals | 9c | 1,206$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Idaho Vandals | 26c | 1,150$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Portland State Vikings | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.25 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho Vandals | 37c | 895.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Idaho Vandals | 38c | 785.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Portland State Vikings | 63c | 575$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Portland State Vikings | 62c | 572.9$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Portland State Vikings | 63c | 545.39$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Portland State Vikings | 79c | 539.81$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Idaho Vandals | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Portland State Vikings | 78c | 465$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Portland State Vikings | 78c | 456.86$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Idaho Vandals | 33c | 428.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho Vandals | 37c | 426.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portland State Vikings | 76c | 392.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Portland State Vikings | 68c | 338.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Idaho Vandals | 37c | 337.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho Vandals | 21c | 336$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Idaho Vandals | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Idaho Vandals | 14c | 288.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Portland State Vikings | 64c | 270.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Portland State Vikings | 62c | 267.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Idaho Vandals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Idaho Vandals | 8c | 259.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Idaho Vandals | 26c | 255.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Portland State Vikings | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Idaho Vandals | 7c | 238$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Idaho Vandals | 37c | 199.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland State Vikings | 73c | 190.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Idaho Vandals | 15c | 169.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Idaho Vandals | 18c | 168.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Idaho Vandals | 36c | 139.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Portland State Vikings | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Idaho Vandals | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Idaho Vandals | 39c | 82.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Idaho Vandals | 36c | 82.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Portland State Vikings | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Idaho Vandals | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Idaho Vandals | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Idaho Vandals | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Portland State Vikings | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Idaho Vandals | 27c | 58.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Portland State Vikings | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Idaho Vandals | 40c | 54.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Idaho Vandals | 37c | 51.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Portland State Vikings | 60c | 50.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Idaho Vandals | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Portland State Vikings | 60c | 48.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland State Vikings | 71c | 46.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Idaho Vandals | 29c | 45.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Portland State Vikings | 62c | 43.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Idaho Vandals | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Idaho Vandals | 37c | 39.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e5…9b4cbacked Idaho Vandals | 40c | 38.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Portland State Vikings | 78c | 38.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Idaho Vandals | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Portland State Vikings | 64c | 31.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Portland State Vikings | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Idaho Vandals | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…2ebbbacked Idaho Vandals | 40c | 27.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Idaho Vandals | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Portland State Vikings | 78c | 22.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Portland State Vikings | 65c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Portland State Vikings | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho Vandals vs. Portland State Vikingsthis page
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-3.5)Portland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)Portland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.