Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 132.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e7a6b2a67c59fe6dc576c17a784bd5e4b9c2cab8df6f743673bfc7156ee62c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 94,021$46,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,809.01 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 42,500$21,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,675 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 51c | 27,586$14,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,069.03 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,965$4,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 4,581$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.87 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 4,150$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 3,063$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.9 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 2,060$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.8 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 1,893$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.35 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 50c | 1,641$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.37 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 49c | 1,515$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.85 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 48c | 1,089$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 47c | 840$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Under | 49c | 784$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 51c | 688.24$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 637.51$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.13 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 594.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 51c | 583$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 46c | 469.5$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 372.61$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 212.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 48c | 194.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 48c | 146.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ac80backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Over | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…ff05backed Under | 48c | 34.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 50c | 33.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 53c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 51c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 132.5this page
- Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois LeathernecksWestern Illinois Leathernecks won
- Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: Eastern Illinois Panthers (-4.5)Western Illinois Leathernecks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.