NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd1e8f0f42a9d92b2f814cba789eb93231a20013c75e21bdbc9316a5775765f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Sabres, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,564 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 148,816$79,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,176.34 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sabres | 46c | 54,286$25,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,071.03 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sabres | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 47c | 15,900$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,473 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Sabres | 47c | 15,455$7,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,263.81 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Sabres | 47c | 14,700$6,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,909 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Sabres | 47c | 11,043$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.18 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Sabres | 47c | 8,589$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.83 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Sabres | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 47c | 1,612$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,300$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sabres | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Sabres | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Sabres | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 46c | 873.06$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.61 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 47c | 727.93$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.13 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sabres | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Sabres | 30c | 343.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Sabres | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres | 47c | 243.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 227.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…e826backed Sabres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Sabres | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 195$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Sabres | 47c | 191.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sabres | 22c | 184.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Sabres | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…4e44backed Sabres | 48c | 154.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Sabres | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Sabres | 41c | 149.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 145.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Sabres | 48c | 130.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Sabres | 48c | 124.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sabres | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 107.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Sabres | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Sabres | 48c | 104.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Sabres | 48c | 101.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Sabres | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Sabres | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Sabres | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Sabres | 47c | 95.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Sabres | 47c | 84.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Sabres | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Sabres | 47c | 78.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 74.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Sabres | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Sabres | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 68.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 63.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…9a10backed Sabres | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 62.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sabres | 45c | 58.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sabres | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sabres | 33c | 53.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 53.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Sabres | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 52.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 51.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Sabres | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 50.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Sabres | 47c | 50.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Sabres | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…2dc9backed Sabres | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…eaecbacked Sabres | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sabres | 46c | 41.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Sabres | 48c | 37.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Sabres | 47c | 35.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sabres | 40c | 33.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sabres | 46c | 32.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Sabres | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Sabres | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…4345backed Sabres | 47c | 31.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…bcbdbacked Sabres | 47c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 29.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Sabres | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…92acbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Maple Leafs vs. SabresSabres won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.