Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x134aa94861cf160148848887e49282eb47591631e098b3558c9d553114ec9c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof Kansas Jayhawks, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,840 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 4,474$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 4,115$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.12 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 1,419$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.2 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 1,022$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.44 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 501.2$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.05 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 380.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 255.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 239.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…0ddbbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 216.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 214.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed TCU Horned Frogs | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 209.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 206.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 186.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas Jayhawks | 41c | 181.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 154.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 145.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed TCU Horned Frogs | 59c | 126.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 99.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 97.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 95.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 91.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 31c | 82.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 78.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 68.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 64.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 63.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 63.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 61.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kansas Jayhawks | 18c | 61.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 57.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 51.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 41.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 39.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 37.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 37.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 37.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 69c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 31.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 28.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 25.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 24.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 21.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed TCU Horned Frogs | 71c | 16.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 142.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.