Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8b69eb1de20aae2e4e9244f2b61f979dbc51784f43857ed98e61d2d8ded8e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,137 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 3,451$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 3,176$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 1,017$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 901.96$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.96 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 869.78$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.16 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 680.27$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 584.51$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 297.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 192.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 188$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…0ddbbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 170.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 79.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 49.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 142.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.