TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Hurricanes, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$427,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,229 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Hurricanes51c402,338$205,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,170.0319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Blues49c231,074$113,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,847.7940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Blues49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Blues49c55,992$27,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,555.8351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blues50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Blues49c5,194$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.561,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Hurricanes50c4,950$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47513147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Blues49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.638544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcef…a339backed Blues50c3,061$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blues50c2,222$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.9891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hurricanes50c1,821$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.1186852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blues51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hurricanes50c1,181$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.341,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blues50c1,000$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50168449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hurricanes50c937$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Blues49c892.74$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Blues49c877.55$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5515444.8%69 W · 85 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hurricanes50c709.84$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6621036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Blues59c512.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.542055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hurricanes51c496.35$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.1491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hurricanes50c453.33$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5336648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e1b…d948backed Hurricanes50c404.85$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e6…a3b4backed Blues51c400.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Blues49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20427049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Hurricanes50c344.42$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1515651.3%80 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Blues50c321.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0112335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Blues49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1216756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Hurricanes52c289.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Blues49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues64c246.15$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.453,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes43c236.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.72,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Blues49c232.42$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5319356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Blues51c223.53$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5338551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hurricanes49c223.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…9ae9backed Blues51c204.32$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.326645.5%30 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Hurricanes50c200.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048161.3%295 W · 186 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Blues50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Hurricanes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8512448.4%60 W · 64 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Blues50c144.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.767746.8%36 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Blues50c139$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.54748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Hurricanes15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1827334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Blues49c116.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2712947.3%61 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hurricanes49c102.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Blues50c101.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.422045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Hurricanes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4924350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Hurricanes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked Hurricanes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-71.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Hurricanes52c85.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.813751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe047…c01bbacked Hurricanes50c83.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Blues50c81.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.596944.9%31 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e5…73aebacked Blues51c77.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Hurricanes49c75.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.016647%31 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…c341backed Blues51c68.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1975…4320backed Hurricanes50c62.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Blues50c60.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1210447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Blues51c59.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9828549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Blues79c55.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Blues50c48.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.166857.4%39 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Blues51c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.526855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851d…a743backed Blues50c47.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Hurricanes50c46.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2333756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Hurricanes50c40.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020046%92 W · 108 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Hurricanes50c40.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1736…32f1backed Hurricanes50c40.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Blues51c39.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hurricanes32c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…0d4cbacked Blues50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.351656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Blues50c36.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.437750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Blues50c32.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5467…ffffbacked Hurricanes50c30.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158944.9%40 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc893…c015backed Hurricanes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Hurricanes51c28.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2712547.2%59 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Blues49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7738147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848a…bb13backed Hurricanes50c25.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Blues49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7586049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes49c24.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.232,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Hurricanes49c24.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0324346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Blues49c24.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3645151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81f…16f1backed Hurricanes52c23.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.353946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues53c22.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.481,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Blues50c21.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.956144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbda…63d2backed Hurricanes50c20.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e9…bff4backed Hurricanes50c20.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0e…bd05backed Hurricanes50c20.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba9…c2a0backed Hurricanes50c20.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2469…4117backed Hurricanes50c20.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5a…0572backed Blues51c19.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.