NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f57459a78483368bccba2eb74faa2d15f8c725ebff8b7ebbbf3ed06e66db040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,652 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x293c…0f0fbacked Under | 52c | 3,844$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…069fbacked Over | 48c | 3,844$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 52c | 1,579$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.05 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,051$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.73 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 574.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…dc13backed Over | 50c | 405.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…da28backed Under | 51c | 401.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 49c | 361.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 360.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 49c | 357.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Under | 51c | 294.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 49c | 236.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 215$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 197.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 176.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 84.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Under | 51c | 58.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Under | 51c | 39.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 49c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.