NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fad153d34d0d950dce9b370661b91d74feeeb88b958e1e7035bd6140d724737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Blue Jackets, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,086 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Panthers | 68c | 3,312$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.92 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 3,030$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.23 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.64 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 67c | 2,022$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Panthers | 68c | 765.16$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Panthers | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 440$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 345$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers | 68c | 285.39$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…1ccdbacked Panthers | 71c | 261$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…8fbabacked Panthers | 71c | 232$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…67b3backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 229$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…542ebacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 222$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3521…104dbacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 197$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…55f4backed Panthers | 71c | 164$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…19dbbacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 152$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 69c | 148.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…4ae2backed Panthers | 71c | 143$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Panthers | 71c | 140.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Panthers | 67c | 122.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 100.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Panthers | 70c | 99.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 85.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 68c | 77.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 76.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Panthers | 71c | 74.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…48a3backed Panthers | 70c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.