Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ee97ca5e391cdf7e52c773c72f31907d65b598c61d373e96de5e934e82763f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Under | 50c | 11,706$5,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,853 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 7,074$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.05 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 4,249$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 47c | 4,245$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.1 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Over | 50c | 2,009$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.75 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 1,632$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.67 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…a266backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 1,206$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.52 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 1,107$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.54 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 973.57$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.31 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 52c | 961.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.64 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6a09backed Over | 50c | 742.32$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.16 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 50c | 523.5$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 50c | 475.65$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 50c | 442.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 440.35$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 50c | 370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 50c | 366.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 50c | 255.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 255$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 255$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Over | 45c | 208.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over | 48c | 196.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 53c | 152.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 142.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Over | 50c | 127.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…0c47backed Under | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…584bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Over | 50c | 98.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 90.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 57c | 88.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 57.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…c074backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a00bbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over | 51c | 39.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 38.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Over | 50c | 35.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…eeeabacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Over | 50c | 29.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Over | 46c | 25.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 50c | 23.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 50c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 53c | 19.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First CornerUruguay won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.