Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8389beb9e333bd0f43640033839fd734b17fdb0e81b520f97354dee68a24d79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 52c | 12,600$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.88 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 2c | 8,377$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 80c | 6,856$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469.68 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Over | 20c | 2,386$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.35 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under | 80c | 1,629$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.71 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Over | 18c | 804$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.28 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 79c | 316.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…652bbacked Over | 24c | 310$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Over | 17c | 287.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ab99backed Over | 20c | 270$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 17c | 265$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…6c34backed Over | 21c | 174.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Under | 79c | 169.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…1a3ebacked Over | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 143.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…14c3backed Over | 21c | 143.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 79c | 120.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b51…9144backed Over | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…68f9backed Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Under | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4d…94ebbacked Over | 50c | 68.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 80c | 67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 79c | 63.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4146backed Over | 21c | 47.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 145 | 12.4%18 W · 127 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…df57backed Under | 76c | 47.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 80c | 32.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…da1fbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 80c | 31.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 77c | 28.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 75c | 26.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 65c | 25.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Under | 79c | 24.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 75c | 21.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…614cbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First CornerUruguay won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.