TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 7.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x953e…79ffbacked Over41c1,061$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.8811535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under58c990.83$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.681,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under59c713.56$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42119250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under60c572.65$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under59c505.42$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.212753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c428$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over42c390.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4810532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18022846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x140b…d0d9backed Over42c229.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.855246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Under62c199.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c136.59$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over44c135.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.133847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over41c119.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5128149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under62c108.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.383,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over41c95.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.543,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under63c89.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.222,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Over39c85.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2820825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1212…2912backed Over42c76.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.191526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over41c53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.273,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0d…c375backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc972…c7b8backed Over41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.513138.9%51 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under60c49.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9334357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under58c37.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…5345backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under52c20.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6118848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.