Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c98bab81dbe1624db715c5763d1e115945ce9283bfc0fe6e3bc18b61dfd5514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Under | 70c | 3,246$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.03 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 31c | 3,107$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 34c | 1,352$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.83 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 67c | 1,004$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.84 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 58c | 760$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.35 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 62c | 484.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 38c | 464.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.22 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Over | 15c | 448.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.72 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 293.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2770…290bbacked Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 31c | 218.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 64c | 195$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Under | 16c | 167$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 24c | 101.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 32c | 96.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Over | 31c | 95.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 20c | 77.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 71.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 66c | 69.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Over | 31c | 40.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…07c4backed Over | 26c | 38.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 22.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First CornerUruguay won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.