Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x344aa60bd6bc8637e74b7d32480dbc92454fd120b9de6d681edf35827cf55d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 6,686$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 32c | 4,250$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.67 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 2,429$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.21 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 2,180$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.79 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 67c | 732$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.44 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 34c | 605$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.3 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 583.04$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 37c | 396$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 33c | 364.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 334.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.92 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…d083backed No | 21c | 280$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 34c | 258.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Yes | 70c | 253.61$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 9c | 242$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 239.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 33c | 218.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 8c | 187.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Yes | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 68c | 134$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…a6ebbacked Yes | 80c | 100.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 80c | 93.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 15c | 89.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 74.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 68c | 70.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 33c | 65.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…a0c6backed Yes | 74c | 40.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 34c | 38.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 66c | 36.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…30d0backed No | 44c | 36.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 32c | 32.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 38c | 30.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 33c | 30.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 68c | 28.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 64c | 20.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 19.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 66c | 16.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.