Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12222eed4cb158aa57d6ac6a30601bb5e108b4c34ec926acfebda25b6c8bd3fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 5,977$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.96 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 44c | 3,058$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.36 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 2,403$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.73 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 2,384$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 2,067$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.11 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 1,675$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.99 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 1,370$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 726.5$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 722$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.7 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 538.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 42c | 510$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 471.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 381.53$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 324$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 42c | 235.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 56c | 133$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 114.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 44c | 113.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 104.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Yes | 71c | 42.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 43c | 28.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 57c | 20.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 17.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.