Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe97d8fa9bdc7a31b2519b4bd4345b4edbf1f4c5e3e42922bab2e914485bf1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 26c | 13,158$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 11,046$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 5,607$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.48 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 47c | 4,259$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 2,841$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.79 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 27c | 738.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 27c | 737.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 701.49$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.56 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 550$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…7830backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 26c | 286$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 26c | 282$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 197.59$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 165.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 67c | 151$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 27c | 129.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 29c | 121.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 26c | 77.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 29c | 76.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 28c | 49.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 32.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…0f5abacked No | 77c | 24.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.