Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8defd7768335ad2b1581da113e0028a5b6bff8da6fed280283e2cd9eb4b56e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 735.22$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.78 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 520$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 514.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 186.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 176.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked No | 74c | 110.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 61c | 59.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 68c | 52.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Yes | 44c | 42.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 42.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 45c | 36.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 33.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…fef1backed Yes | 40c | 28.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed No | 60c | 26.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 26.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 49c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.