TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,765 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb84…5fb5backed Over50c2,926$1,463 inLost-$1,4635843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under50c2,684$1,342 inWon+$1,341.7685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under49c1,776$874 inWon+$901.4592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over51c1,480$755 inLost-$75513857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over50c1,260$630 inLost-$6308251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under49c992.14$486 inWon+$505.9961752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under49c822.69$403 inWon+$419.5716953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over49c716.33$351 inLost-$3518348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over51c609.8$311 inLost-$3113243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under51c600$306 inWon+$29412947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under48c553.46$266 inWon+$287.834357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under48c540.19$259 inWon+$280.976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c270.77$136 inWon+$135.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c257.4$121 inWon+$136.422,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over52c200$104 inLost-$10411946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under50c196.13$98 inWon+$98.1216452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c5e…3b08backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over53c191.09$101 inLost-$101.287850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under46c169.61$78 inWon+$91.591,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c154.08$74 inWon+$80.122,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.048447.6%40 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6343…943bbacked Over52c102$53 inLost-$53.0413331.6%42 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over52c100$52 inLost-$5232254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad90…51d2backed Under51c100$51 inWon+$4913341.4%55 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost-$5022242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c85.63$41 inWon+$44.281,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Under49c81.63$40 inWon+$41.6311650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c66$32 inWon+$34.083,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under47c49.98$23 inWon+$26.492,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c49.69$26 inLost-$26.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under49c46$23 inWon+$23.3341551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c42.61$21 inWon+$21.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24a…7a94backed Over53c42.19$22 inLost-$22.361353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost-$2039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Over45c33.45$15 inLost-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under49c31$15 inWon+$15.7277051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd19e…2fc9backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost-$151050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708e…d03fbacked Over52c24.04$12 inLost-$12.53132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.