Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb507b7d768fc24a6c68b8815704fcb2c89806b2e50c2d475a14950476edaac80

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	79c	7,427$5,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,893.02	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	16c	6,029$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,056.08	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over	28c	4,773$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.67	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	61c	2,998$1,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,184.07	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	70c	1,986$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.4	469	39.4%185 W · 284 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	73c	1,746$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.4	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Over	30c	1,663$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over	34c	1,493$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.47	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	71c	1,446$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.41	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	71c	1,401$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.2	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under	72c	1,400$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.03	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	43c	1,210$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.19	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	59c	1,110$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	71c	1,105$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.35	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	71c	1,047$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.5	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	216	40.7%88 W · 128 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Under	37c	754.05$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.84	192	47.9%92 W · 100 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+38%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Under	76c	661.32$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.32	174	53.4%93 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec52…59e8backed Over	27c	499.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over	29c	413.79$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	179	38%68 W · 111 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	24c	406.32$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.52	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	32c	396.29$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.69	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	49c	347.67$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.44	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ab…bbdcbacked Under	78c	346.35$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.35	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	63cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	76c	345.05$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.78	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Over	66c	300$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.7	51	66.7%34 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over	11c	299.02$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.83	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over	35c	294.94$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.77	709	48.9%347 W · 362 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over	49c	265.99$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.49	401	63.3%254 W · 147 L	+57.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	36c	242.78$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.97	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	41c	242.53$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.62	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	51c	242.08$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.42	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	69c	192.67$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.73	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5c…cfa8backed Over	30c	179.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.53	75	69.3%52 W · 23 L	+13.7wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Over	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344e…019ebacked Under	11c	172.73$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.73	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.7wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x536b…8134backed Over	29c	162.07$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	16c	160$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	69c	126.93$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.02	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	46c	118.68$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.82	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	18c	117.66$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over	28c	107.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b3…1499backed Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Under	49c	101.02$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	130	61.5%80 W · 50 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+100.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Under	12c	100$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.37	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Over	69c	100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9532…f57ebacked Over	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Over	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	55c	98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.83	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Over	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	211	28%59 W · 152 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over	53c	81.13$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	186	42.5%79 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over	72c	73.66$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.73	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238c…4399backed Over	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	188	40.4%76 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	36c	65.63$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	70c	65.36$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.46	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…6e17backed Over	72c	64.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.94	213	62%132 W · 81 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over	43c	62$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.86	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Over	30c	61.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.41	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	39c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.6	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over	28c	53.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over	31c	53.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.62	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6983…fd10backed Over	29c	51.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	78c	49.5$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.84	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over	41c	44$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-11.8wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb447…a929backed Over	73c	40$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over	29c	38.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	58c	35.58$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	177	60.5%107 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.69	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	72c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.32	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	72c	27.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over	48c	26.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	215	65.1%140 W · 75 L	+16.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x767c…dc56backed Over	59c	25.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8772…e179backed Over	53c	24.42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	71c	23.89$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.83	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	324	33.6%109 W · 215 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	64c	21.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over	56c	20.39$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.42	480	55.2%265 W · 215 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…f8dabacked Under	75c	20.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.19	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b8…67cdbacked Over	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Team to Take First CornerGermany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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