Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fad4cce63623d056bfecb7bfb74e369f8ae322e2fbc1ea97f4abc3255792933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 6,580$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.57 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 45c | 4,948$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 2,215$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.52 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 55c | 1,366$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 1,146$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 63c | 860.28$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 534.82$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.49 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 505.56$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Saint Louis Billikens | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 305$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 57c | 283.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 242.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 49c | 181.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 93.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 49c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 62.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 58.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 58.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Louis Billikens | 65c | 34.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 45c | 31.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 29.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Saint Louis Billikens | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 22.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Saint Louis Billikens | 74c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure BonniesSaint Louis Billikens won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 157.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.