Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dba4f462f63e59582cab52c1384219ff780f0f62bea6feba17fffb975dfdc1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 26,335$13,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,159.52 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,225$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 51c | 6,767$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.04 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 54c | 6,490$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…b6e9backed Under | 49c | 3,044$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 1,785$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.65 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 412.24$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 330$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 215.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Under | 49c | 189.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 135.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Under | 50c | 102.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 97.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 52c | 41.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 49c | 39.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 53c | 39.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…f6a4backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 24.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 158.5this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure BonniesSaint Louis Billikens won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.