Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a8ce3509c19228aec791cb24c48fb367fb1046026dfec138e03277137813e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 46c | 10,466$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Saint Louis Billikens | 55c | 10,026$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 5,022$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.83 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 48c | 2,300$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 902$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 250.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 113.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 105.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 45c | 96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 50c | 67.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 46.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure BonniesSaint Louis Billikens won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 157.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.