Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ffbd12e0eac3660b0bd54f6075185ab4ee951194af059dc19ed6e1c417a1b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 42c | 21,752$9,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,669.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 58c | 18,610$10,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,876.53 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 57c | 5,262$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 60c | 5,125$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 3,609$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Saint Louis Billikens | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Saint Louis Billikens | 41c | 2,104$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.15 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 571.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 282.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Saint Louis Billikens | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 58c | 216.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 192$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Saint Louis Billikens | 42c | 182.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 44c | 137.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 127.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Saint Louis Billikens | 42c | 121.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 112$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 40c | 101.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 53.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Saint Louis Billikens | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Saint Louis Billikens | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Saint Louis Billikens | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…c7b0backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 33.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Saint Louis Billikens | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 55c | 30.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Saint Louis Billikens | 41c | 29.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Saint Louis Billikens | 42c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Saint Louis Billikens | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 26.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Saint Louis Billikens | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure BonniesSaint Louis Billikens won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 157.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.