Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho Vandals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a5602aa3fe8144631c5dbe15f1ec275b92ab080b81fb43faa3cd1a1c0a72ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Portland State Vikings, Idaho Vandals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho Vandals | 13c | 3,252$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Portland State Vikings | 48c | 1,071$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Idaho Vandals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Idaho Vandals | 12c | 931.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Idaho Vandals | 32c | 723.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Idaho Vandals | 13c | 388.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland State Vikings | 46c | 320.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3397backed Portland State Vikings | 48c | 270.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Idaho Vandals | 54c | 254$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Idaho Vandals | 46c | 246.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Idaho Vandals | 10c | 246.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portland State Vikings | 69c | 217.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Idaho Vandals | 5c | 185$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Idaho Vandals | 18c | 176$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Portland State Vikings | 70c | 165.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Portland State Vikings | 76c | 132.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Idaho Vandals | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Portland State Vikings | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 46c | 115.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Idaho Vandals | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Idaho Vandals | 53c | 96.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…06a6backed Idaho Vandals | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Idaho Vandals | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Idaho Vandals | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Idaho Vandals | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Portland State Vikings | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Idaho Vandals | 37c | 63.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Idaho Vandals | 53c | 52.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 44.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Portland State Vikings | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Portland State Vikings | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Portland State Vikings | 75c | 39.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Portland State Vikings | 46c | 34.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked Idaho Vandals | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Portland State Vikings | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Idaho Vandals | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Portland State Vikings | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Portland State Vikings | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho Vandalsthis page
- Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 144.5Under won
- Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.