TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois State Redbirds vs. UIC Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UIC Flamesof Illinois State Redbirds, UIC Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Illinois State Redbirds50c13,038$6,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,518.8874051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Illinois State Redbirds18c8,528$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55822043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Illinois State Redbirds52c7,437$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,861.11,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Illinois State Redbirds49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.9910648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed UIC Flames50c5,726$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.2337947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked UIC Flames48c5,676$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.5230249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UIC Flames53c5,552$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.085,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed UIC Flames51c4,976$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.921,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames50c3,678$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UIC Flames51c2,151$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.393,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Illinois State Redbirds50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013453%71 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Illinois State Redbirds49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98048855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed UIC Flames51c1,827$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.383627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed UIC Flames51c1,498$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.832748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked UIC Flames50c758$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Illinois State Redbirds52c746.8$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UIC Flames74c735.63$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.262,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed UIC Flames48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36455749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UIC Flames51c605$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.031,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Illinois State Redbirds6c600$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3719237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Illinois State Redbirds50c564.22$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3716350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked Illinois State Redbirds12c514.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed UIC Flames49c404.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2921955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Illinois State Redbirds53c391$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.231,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Illinois State Redbirds30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed UIC Flames76c303.6$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.543770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Illinois State Redbirds16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed UIC Flames50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.51,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UIC Flames50c269$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Illinois State Redbirds25c262$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.51,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UIC Flames47c249.8$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.392,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e13…d6d0backed Illinois State Redbirds44c203.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed UIC Flames50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UIC Flames47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Illinois State Redbirds50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UIC Flames50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10039050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UIC Flames78c177.92$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.621,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UIC Flames78c175.38$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UIC Flames58c162.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UIC Flames50c152.27$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.882,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Illinois State Redbirds28c148$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2514643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames59c142.77$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.613,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Illinois State Redbirds54c140.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Illinois State Redbirds51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Illinois State Redbirds50c124.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.482,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Illinois State Redbirds35c123$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.478641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked UIC Flames50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6031537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed UIC Flames52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.381,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Illinois State Redbirds56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.620452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UIC Flames69c100.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.771,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UIC Flames50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Illinois State Redbirds52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Illinois State Redbirds50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed UIC Flames49c99.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UIC Flames48c96.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Illinois State Redbirds51c94.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Illinois State Redbirds46c87.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked UIC Flames64c67.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.311,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…4fc5backed Illinois State Redbirds30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Illinois State Redbirds53c62.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3323363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed UIC Flames50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1221152.1%110 W · 101 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Illinois State Redbirds27c57.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.361,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UIC Flames73c52.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc484…af66backed UIC Flames39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed UIC Flames33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Illinois State Redbirds53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed UIC Flames52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Illinois State Redbirds54c40.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Illinois State Redbirds50c36.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Illinois State Redbirds53c30.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.242,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc5…2585backed Illinois State Redbirds51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UIC Flames57c29.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked UIC Flames48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9217634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234d…e8e1backed Illinois State Redbirds59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UIC Flames50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3a…b9d9backed UIC Flames50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.