Tennis · resolved market
Fucsovics vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f789e80d812e209550899fe437c023a3bff95e816ac34de92f144dcb95a4b6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,530 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 59c | 4,764$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.41 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 2,078$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.86 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 42c | 747.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.32 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 40c | 666$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 57c | 655.93$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.88 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Under | 42c | 483$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 45c | 275.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Over | 57c | 263.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 43c | 237.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 58c | 216.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 173.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 139.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 74c | 94.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 86.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 43c | 56.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 47c | 32.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 25.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fucsovics vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Fucsovics vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Fucsovics vs FilsFils won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)Fils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.