TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Thionville: Otto Virtanen vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Otto Virtanen, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,934 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Otto Virtanen46c7,661$3,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.842,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer41c4,889$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.3755646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a8…6c88backed Otto Virtanen59c3,598$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.651275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Otto Virtanen59c3,490$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.9922553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer59c2,631$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.5735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Otto Virtanen47c2,012$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Otto Virtanen47c1,852$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.278,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c1,560$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.6428444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f44…1c0bbacked Otto Virtanen40c1,256$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Otto Virtanen50c1,237$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.087368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer30c1,206$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.036,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Otto Virtanen47c1,197$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.432,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Otto Virtanen43c1,146$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.341,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602a…0d75backed Otto Virtanen60c1,119$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Otto Virtanen55c989.05$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.5975748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Otto Virtanen60c843$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.865959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer41c810.02$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.1413052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c781.73$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.561,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer41c701.28$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7743042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer41c690.02$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7328933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Otto Virtanen56c659.96$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.872,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c640.48$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.491,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer44c627.52$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Otto Virtanen49c621$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8969249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer46c604.06$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0699139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Otto Virtanen58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34846553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer37c583.52$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.42,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Otto Virtanen46c559.12$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.856,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5635344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Otto Virtanen59c512$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c449$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.897,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer47c421.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0663247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c366.05$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.82,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Otto Virtanen58c334.87$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2333346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Otto Virtanen50c306.54$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.312,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Otto Virtanen51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15331039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c291.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3724560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Otto Virtanen59c268.93$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2742358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Otto Virtanen78c255.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer15c253.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.318858%109 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer17c235.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Otto Virtanen44c234.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.62,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0436038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe642…ed37backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c234.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer44c226.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.612,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Otto Virtanen61c211$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1612835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Otto Virtanen57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer48c197.95$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.926,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer18c197.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16262534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Otto Virtanen43c196.42$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.826,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Otto Virtanen57c192.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer47c190.8$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.834,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Otto Virtanen59c183.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3720552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Otto Virtanen59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Otto Virtanen72c160.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9443058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer46c136.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9620447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer23c136.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4115151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c134.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3588446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Otto Virtanen70c126$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1370465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10072542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer44c123.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9718460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c118.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.121847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer46c115.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer44c114.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6966452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa75…9dc9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1e7…174fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer52c105.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Otto Virtanen58c100.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0413556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Otto Virtanen58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5841955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Otto Virtanen60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8834744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5351539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Otto Virtanen42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Otto Virtanen59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5958753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0435944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Otto Virtanen56c88.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016552.1%86 W · 79 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c88.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Otto Virtanen64c86.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.391,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0225546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Otto Virtanen53c74.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7157252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…bd29backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c73.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.56354%34 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1843951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer57c67.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.238147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Otto Virtanen43c63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.091,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer63c62.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer54c61.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3732937.4%123 W · 206 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa41f…6100backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.811234.8%39 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Otto Virtanen59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.436349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5212142.1%51 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c56.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.733,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer40c56.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.867,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4c…afcebacked Otto Virtanen76c51.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.612556%14 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Otto Virtanen58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010157.4%58 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2930741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1718248.9%89 W · 93 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2235051.1%179 W · 171 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer42c45.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.326349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.