TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hersonissos 2: Stefan Dostanic vs Toby Samuel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toby Samuelof Stefan Dostanic, Toby Samuel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,796 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Toby Samuel63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9966949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stefan Dostanic26c4,001$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.678,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefan Dostanic34c3,464$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.086,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Toby Samuel78c2,572$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.5136968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stefan Dostanic25c2,131$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.212,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Toby Samuel66c1,974$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.756767.2%45 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Stefan Dostanic9c1,915$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6947946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Stefan Dostanic12c1,600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19261924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Stefan Dostanic4c1,489$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.421720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefan Dostanic34c1,003$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.731,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc847…0a42backed Stefan Dostanic7c999.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65280%0 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Stefan Dostanic6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Stefan Dostanic14c699.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Stefan Dostanic34c695.22$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.334,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Stefan Dostanic37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012153.7%65 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Stefan Dostanic5c593.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.442,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked Toby Samuel65c556.73$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.285255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Toby Samuel66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17038268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Stefan Dostanic4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed Toby Samuel66c456.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.98058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Stefan Dostanic34c408.77$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.982343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefan Dostanic34c399.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Stefan Dostanic14c394.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9462534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Stefan Dostanic11c379.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.822,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Stefan Dostanic3c352.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.684415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Stefan Dostanic37c333.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5765849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Stefan Dostanic17c333.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5767836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Stefan Dostanic35c312.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.277,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Toby Samuel65c305.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7323965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Stefan Dostanic34c294.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.011,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…8d44backed Stefan Dostanic36c265.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Toby Samuel66c253.03$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0369350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stefan Dostanic35c249.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.431,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Stefan Dostanic35c240.16$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8521149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Stefan Dostanic21c239.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Stefan Dostanic35c226.26$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1915354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Stefan Dostanic34c220.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9422337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Stefan Dostanic14c218.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefan Dostanic37c214.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.356,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Toby Samuel66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1250364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Stefan Dostanic34c198.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.199,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Toby Samuel73c196.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.724,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Stefan Dostanic37c179.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.341,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Stefan Dostanic14c170.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1744038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Stefan Dostanic35c157.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.035250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Toby Samuel65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Toby Samuel66c153.7$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2620552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Stefan Dostanic34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Toby Samuel67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2519649%96 W · 100 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Stefan Dostanic35c115.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.363,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Stefan Dostanic35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409629.2%28 W · 68 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x07fe…d894backed Stefan Dostanic35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Stefan Dostanic34c114$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.767,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Toby Samuel66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0619452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Stefan Dostanic18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Toby Samuel64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3641272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Toby Samuel64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3653457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Stefan Dostanic36c98.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4531941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Toby Samuel62c97.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.621,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Toby Samuel63c96.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.722,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f8…bf06backed Toby Samuel65c87.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.695036%18 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Stefan Dostanic36c78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.081,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf479…c8d4backed Toby Samuel66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Toby Samuel66c75.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Toby Samuel66c67.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0812856.3%72 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Toby Samuel62c65.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Stefan Dostanic22c64.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3745147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Stefan Dostanic37c62.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9626349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Stefan Dostanic34c60.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.614744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Stefan Dostanic35c59.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.811,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Toby Samuel66c59.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0949955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Stefan Dostanic34c58.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Stefan Dostanic36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1677047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Toby Samuel71c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2273745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Stefan Dostanic36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1629244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Stefan Dostanic36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1627246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Stefan Dostanic37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Toby Samuel65c51.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Stefan Dostanic37c50.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Stefan Dostanic36c50.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Stefan Dostanic35c44.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4653544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Stefan Dostanic31c42.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2343058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Stefan Dostanic37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Stefan Dostanic38c36.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.653,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Stefan Dostanic37c33.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.527546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Toby Samuel60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332070%14 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Toby Samuel65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…623bbacked Stefan Dostanic38c28.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.733046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48c5…15f0backed Stefan Dostanic36c28.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Stefan Dostanic36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0896844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Toby Samuel66c27.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3516175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Toby Samuel65c27.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5458067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Toby Samuel63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a1…7758backed Toby Samuel72c16.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.734671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Toby Samuel79c16.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4817152.6%90 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855f…4954backed Toby Samuel65c15.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5510570.5%74 W · 31 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca12…20b2backed Toby Samuel64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.