NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0b2afdea829a5ac619209a8e4bd68e1d37809e0634e924d32784ccc9c5123a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Titans | 51c | 38,780$19,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,777.78 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Patriots | 53c | 35,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,600 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Titans | 48c | 18,764$8,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,933.56 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Patriots | 49c | 16,592$8,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,454.75 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots | 49c | 15,569$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,939.3 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Titans | 47c | 12,698$5,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.86 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Patriots | 56c | 9,848$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.18 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Titans | 52c | 8,653$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Titans | 44c | 6,335$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.8 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Titans | 50c | 5,681$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.13 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Patriots | 49c | 5,096$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Titans | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 49c | 4,699$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.52 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Titans | 47c | 3,553$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.55 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Patriots | 51c | 3,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Patriots | 49c | 3,228$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.1 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Titans | 45c | 2,209$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.87 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Patriots | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Titans | 48c | 1,388$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.24 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Patriots | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.16 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Patriots | 52c | 1,115$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.49 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Titans | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Patriots | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…1656backed Patriots | 49c | 881.04$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Patriots | 50c | 845.96$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Titans | 49c | 817$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Titans | 48c | 770$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Titans | 50c | 757.55$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.3 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Patriots | 53c | 733.09$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.55 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 48c | 704$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.08 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Patriots | 54c | 647$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.56 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…5889backed Titans | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Titans | 51c | 507.89$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Patriots | 52c | 481.29$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.29 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Patriots | 52c | 479.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.36 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Patriots | 49c | 408.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Patriots | 51c | 350$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Patriots | 55c | 310.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Patriots | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Titans | 46c | 300.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Titans | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Titans | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Titans | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Patriots | 50c | 275$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Titans | 50c | 264.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…fe5abacked Patriots | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…9edabacked Patriots | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Titans | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Titans | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…afbfbacked Patriots | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Titans | 55c | 204$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Patriots | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…552cbacked Patriots | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Patriots | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Patriots | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Titans | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Titans | 45c | 195$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…81e4backed Patriots | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a1…68cabacked Patriots | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Patriots | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Patriots | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…ae2cbacked Patriots | 56c | 136$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Patriots | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Patriots | 62c | 103.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Patriots | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Titans | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Patriots | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Patriots | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Patriots | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Patriots | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Titans | 36c | 97.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Titans | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Patriots | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Patriots | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Titans | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Titans | 44c | 51.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Patriots | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Patriots | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Patriots | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Patriots | 54c | 43.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…534cbacked Titans | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Titans | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Patriots | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Patriots | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Titans | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Titans | 51c | 38.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…8c00backed Patriots | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…68eebacked Patriots | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Patriots | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Patriots | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Patriots | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots | 48c | 27.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Titans | 48c | 25.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Patriots | 50c | 24.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…eb97backed Patriots | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)this page
- Patriots vs. TitansPatriots won
- Patriots vs. Titans: O/U 41.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Titans: O/U 42.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Titans: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.