NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41e601b92c9714602aeca161f4540f651e90a0fb0d0e5e694b50c3293b25e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Bruins, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 67c | 1,210$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.3 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bruins | 32c | 1,077$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.64 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Canucks | 68c | 765.75$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bruins | 32c | 664$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canucks | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins | 33c | 518.54$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.47 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 40c | 340.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 60c | 212.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Canucks | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Bruins | 39c | 162.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bruins | 30c | 160.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Canucks | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Bruins | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bruins | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Canucks | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Bruins | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Canucks | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…0b37backed Bruins | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bruins | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bruins | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Canucks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Canucks | 70c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. CanucksBruins won
- Bruins vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.