NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d3e6a79337c213efed9266c1f296733af3fca79e2e1dceb6d7e12270c649114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 54c | 43,591$23,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,919.81 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 15,000$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 4,733$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 45c | 3,494$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.16 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 47c | 2,338$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.86 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 47c | 2,333$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.51 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,248$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 47c | 2,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Under | 54c | 1,125$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.42 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 1,027$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.42 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 47c | 802$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.94 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 701$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 502$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 47c | 501.28$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Under | 74c | 447$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.04 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 404$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 53c | 292.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 274.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 47c | 195.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 46c | 188$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 15c | 186.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 181$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 51c | 170.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 48c | 168$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Under | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 45c | 121.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Over | 48c | 119.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 51c | 111.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Over | 47c | 85.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 24c | 74.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 49c | 61.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 45c | 61.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…d14ebacked Under | 64c | 54.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…946dbacked Over | 47c | 51.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 47.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…18e9backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…9578backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 47c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 46c | 24.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. BucksBucks won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.