Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70ac4498770a089e569dbad870b2398a4263545c6d2d476833d5eb087c7522a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 2,075$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.88 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 1,857$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.53 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,758$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.73 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 68c | 1,389$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 960.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 77c | 499.08$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 489.25$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 73c | 398.4$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 71c | 393.32$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 27c | 344$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 68c | 337.59$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 31c | 325$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 29c | 287.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 29c | 279.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 229$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 14c | 222.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 29c | 206.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 200.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 199.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 70c | 152.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 7c | 147.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 33c | 146$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked No | 73c | 138.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 124.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 29c | 109$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 68c | 105.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 71c | 92.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 33c | 85.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 30c | 83.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 71c | 39.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked No | 72c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 24.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb35…dd01backed No | 69c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 71c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.