NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ebb3089b6133cc0c6ba735cdfff1f8b997b7274fc0c5f856b2033ab5a9ec13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 48c | 101,005$48,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,482.54 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 36,600$19,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,586.68 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 52c | 15,601$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,488.3 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 49c | 14,056$6,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,887.42 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 12,263$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.45 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 12,017$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,858.28 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 52c | 7,923$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.94 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 6,762$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.18 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…8478backed Over | 52c | 5,700$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…5ba7backed Under | 48c | 5,700$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…de8ebacked Under | 49c | 2,420$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 52c | 2,373$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.04 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Over | 52c | 2,077$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…16afbacked Over | 52c | 1,861$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,713$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 51c | 931$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.19 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 28c | 691.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.18 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdd…c8cebacked Over | 52c | 553.62$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 52c | 520.7$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.94 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 481$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 469.81$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 372.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 360.08$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.06 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 48c | 313$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Under | 49c | 294$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 196$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 177$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 77c | 114.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 68c | 92.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Over | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…4bb1backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 30.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 52c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Under | 73c | 13.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5this page
- Kraken vs. CanucksKraken won
- Kraken vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.