NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canucks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84040d5e3a2fe0d8fb638d8398b64a923d6796b15e13b50be25c3d7ccc434895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Canucks, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 64c | 1,961$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.12 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canucks | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kraken | 66c | 556.48$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canucks | 33c | 442$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Canucks | 36c | 320$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Kraken | 67c | 313.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canucks | 34c | 237$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canucks | 34c | 217.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canucks | 34c | 182.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Kraken | 66c | 159.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Canucks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Kraken | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Canucks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Kraken | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 33c | 89.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Canucks | 35c | 73.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Canucks | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canucks | 34c | 66.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Kraken | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Canucks | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Kraken | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Canucks | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kraken | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ab…6f93backed Kraken | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)this page
- Kraken vs. CanucksKraken won
- Kraken vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.