TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Incarnate Word Cardinals, Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros52c48,312$25,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,986.852650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals48c15,500$7,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,39090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Incarnate Word Cardinals47c15,246$7,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,197.135,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Incarnate Word Cardinals48c7,105$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Incarnate Word Cardinals48c1,888$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.162,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004946.9%23 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Incarnate Word Cardinals28c957.71$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4942327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals47c939.17$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals43c879.19$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.991,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Incarnate Word Cardinals47c650$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.516051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Incarnate Word Cardinals48c595$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.61,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals46c559.85$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.694,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Incarnate Word Cardinals40c507.09$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.144,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Incarnate Word Cardinals48c473.16$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1725544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Incarnate Word Cardinals47c347.86$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.31,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Incarnate Word Cardinals31c344.63$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.483,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Incarnate Word Cardinals47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Incarnate Word Cardinals47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14182048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Incarnate Word Cardinals49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros50c241.69$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.855160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc26…7835backed Incarnate Word Cardinals45c215.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Incarnate Word Cardinals7c201.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.393993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4225…7fafbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals16c192.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.871127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+118.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Incarnate Word Cardinals53c142$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.267353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Incarnate Word Cardinals30c120.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3636942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Incarnate Word Cardinals50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Incarnate Word Cardinals50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros78c107$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.565662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Incarnate Word Cardinals53c93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.297243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Incarnate Word Cardinals51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.116950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.923167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Incarnate Word Cardinals22c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6744955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Incarnate Word Cardinals48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Incarnate Word Cardinals51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.57349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Incarnate Word Cardinals32c47.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157324.7%18 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros66c45.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.391,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.323161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.323063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.423056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Incarnate Word Cardinals48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros47c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Incarnate Word Cardinals45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.242,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Incarnate Word Cardinals51c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.834254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Incarnate Word Cardinals46c28.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Incarnate Word Cardinals47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e0f…1132backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros77c18.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.