TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Houston Christian Huskies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Houston Christian Huskies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Houston Christian Huskies56c5,600$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1331553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros44c5,500$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08078155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros51c1,712$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.412364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Houston Christian Huskies42c1,253$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.264060%24 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros58c1,150$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.822,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Houston Christian Huskies23c733.14$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.811,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Houston Christian Huskies55c727.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2649746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Houston Christian Huskies46c499.63$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Houston Christian Huskies48c493.33$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.81,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Houston Christian Huskies45c478.58$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec8…f1bdbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros54c400.14$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros45c388.3$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.562,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…1b76backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros64c388.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros79c351.29$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.852,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Houston Christian Huskies49c306.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Houston Christian Huskies14c270$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.89235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Christian Huskies16c264.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.431,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Christian Huskies25c250.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.573,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.231,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Houston Christian Huskies23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Houston Christian Huskies50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Houston Christian Huskies49c132.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Houston Christian Huskies54c131.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.658245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Houston Christian Huskies49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.840755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros58c103.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.444,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Houston Christian Huskies49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Houston Christian Huskies50c79.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.613350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Houston Christian Huskies33c57.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3966831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros46c55.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9241354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros77c50.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Houston Christian Huskies48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Houston Christian Huskies48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f7…c7fabacked Houston Christian Huskies49c48.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.75046%23 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Christian Huskies53c46.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros47c42.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef6d…b0cdbacked Houston Christian Huskies49c40.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.413464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0421746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Houston Christian Huskies35c31.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros57c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1229954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e0f…1132backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Houston Christian Huskies49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.298855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.