Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Missouri State Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586ac91855f6c63fa144faf89fdf86a75ca8fc69764d8e92e5faeb9944e52f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri State Bearsof Florida International Golden Panthers, Missouri State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 42c | 2,996$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.32 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Missouri State Bears | 73c | 2,829$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri State Bears | 58c | 2,288$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Missouri State Bears | 59c | 2,219$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 38c | 1,779$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.55 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 26c | 1,392$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…24fabacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 1c | 1,284$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 20c | 1,166$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Missouri State Bears | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 44c | 614.32$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…0b99backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 44c | 516.11$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.82 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri State Bears | 58c | 433$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 24c | 395.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 40c | 379$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri State Bears | 55c | 283$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 40c | 184.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Missouri State Bears | 56c | 156.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Missouri State Bears | 57c | 129$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 38c | 108.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 38c | 101.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Missouri State Bears | 78c | 97.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri State Bears | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Missouri State Bears | 74c | 72.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 40c | 52.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Missouri State Bears | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…2a5cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 42c | 46.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 24c | 45.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Missouri State Bears | 59c | 30.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Missouri State Bears | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Missouri State Bearsthis page
- Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 149.5Over won
- Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Missouri State Bears (-2.5)Missouri State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.