Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. UC Riverside Highlanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4946d52c513f68297e64ff9d72cc13e1fb89ba8c36eec1498078a89e9e9e53d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Riverside Highlandersof Cal State Fullerton Titans, UC Riverside Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 60c | 4,252$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 35c | 3,605$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.01 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 61c | 2,071$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.74 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 46c | 1,866$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.88 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 26c | 1,627$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.61 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 60c | 1,356$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 40c | 648.54$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 604$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 40c | 437.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 35c | 413.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 38c | 374$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 62c | 247.18$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 42c | 137$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 59c | 113.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 44c | 92.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 73c | 58.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 58c | 30.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…ffb2backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 66c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…8f87backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 62c | 18.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.